Serie A Matchday 28 June 28 Betting Preview

AC Milan vs Roma 

Time: 11:15 AM EST 

Odds: AC Milan +160, Draw +240, +165

Last Game: Roma 2 : 1 AC Milan 

Watch: ESPN +

AC Milan enter this match following a 4-1 away win at Lecce.  Milan now sit in 8th and sit three points back from a European Berth.  The biggest question for the host will be the availability of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who is expected to be evaluated near gametime and may play.

Roma enter this match after a 2-1 win at home over Sampdoria.  Roma remain in 5th and sit six points from a Champions League berth.  Midfielder Nicolò Zaniolo looks likely to remain out for this match.

Milan have been below average at home where they have just the 13th best record.  AC Milan’s offense is struggling at home where they are scoring the 3rd fewest goals, while their defense has been stout and is allowing the 6th fewest goals against.  Roma have been strong away where they have the 6th best record in Serie A, and are scoring the 4th most goals while allowing the 5th fewest against.  Roma have had the slight edge when visiting Milan, with the visitors winning three and drawing one of the previous six meetings at the San Siro.  Bettors will want to confirm Zlatan’s status prior to placing a wager as the star striker can still tip a game in his team’s favor.  Both sides are strong defensively so expect a low scoring match here with a draw or away win looking the probable outcome.    

Napoli vs SPAL 

Time: 1:30 PM EST 

Odds: Napoli -380, Draw +480, SPAL +900 

Last Game: SPAL 1 : 1 Napoli  

Watch: ESPN +

Napoli come into this match following a 2-1 win away at Hellas Verona.  Napoli remain in 6th and sit twelve points from a Champions League berth.  Alex Meret and Stanislav Lobotka are expected to start here for the hosts.

SPAL enter this match on the heels of a 1-0 home loss to Cagliari in midweek.  SPAL remain in 19th and now sit eight points from safety.  Etrit Berisha will miss this match with an injury.

Napoli have been below average at home, where they have collected the 12th most points in Serie A.  Napoli’s offense at home has been average, where they are scoring the 11th most goals, while their defense has been slightly better and is allowing the 8th fewest goals against.  SPAL have struggled away where they have the 2nd worst record in the league.  SPAL are scoring the fewest goals and allowing the 7th most against away this campaign.  These sides have only met in Naples three times since 2005, with the hosts winning all three matches by a score of 1-0.  Napoli have been playing fantastic football since the restart, and have won their last four straight.  Napoli look like one of the best team in Italy of late and should have no issue securing the full three points in this one.

Sampdoria vs Bologna 

Time: 1:30 PM EST 

Odds: Sampdoria +130, Draw +240, Bologna +200

Last Game: Bologna 2 : 1 Sampdoria 

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Sampdoria come into this match following a 2-1 away loss to Roma.  Sampdoria sit in 16th but remain just a single point clear of the relegation zone.  Top scorer Fabio Quagliarella remains out for the hosts in this one. 

Bologna enter this match following a 2-0 loss at home to Juventus.  Bologna now sit in 11th and sit eight points from a European berth.  Andreas Skov Olsen and Federico Santander are ruled out with injuries for the visitors.

Sampdoria have struggled at home where they have 6th worst record, scoring the 8th fewest goals while allowing the 5th most goals against.  Bologna have been an average side away, where they have the 10th best record in Serie A.  Bologna have scored the 7th most goals away while allowing the 9th most goals against.  Sampdoria have enjoyed hosting Bologna, winning five and drawing one over the last six matches at home.  Both sides have lost two straight and neither are likely to inspire much confidence in this one.  Expect a low scoring draw here.  

Sassuolo vs Hellas Verona 

Time: 1:30 PM EST 

Odds: Sassuolo +155, Draw +230, Hellas Verona +175

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0 : 1 Sassuolo 

Watch: ESPN

Sassuolo come into this game on the heels of an exciting 3-3 draw to Inter Milan in midweek.  Sassuolo now sit comfortably in 12th.  Defender Jeremy Toljan will miss this match with an injury while defender Marlon Santos looks set to return from injury. 

Hellas Verona fell 2-0 at home to Napoli in midweek.  Hellas have slid to 9th but remain just four points from a European berth.  Midfielder Marco Faraoni will miss this match due to suspension.

Sassuolo have been strong at home and have the 8th best home record in Serie A.  Sassuolo have scored the 5th most goals for while allowing the 5th most goals against at home this campaign.  Hellas have been average away where they have the 12th best record, and are allowing the fewest goals against while scoring the 4th fewest themselves.  Udinese have had the slight edge when hosting Hellas Verona, with three wins and a draw in their last six meetings.  This game looks to be a matchup of strengths when Sassuolo’s strong offense and weak defense meet the weak offense and strong defense of Hellas Verona.  A low scoring draw looks like the probable outcome here.  

Udinese vs Atalanta 

Time: 1:30 PM EST 

Odds: Udinese +550, Draw +350, Atalanta -210

Last Game: Atalanta 7 : 1 Udinese 

Watch: ESPN +

Udinese come into this match following a 1-0 away loss to Torino.  Udinese remain in 15th and sit just three points above the drop zone.  Attacking midfielder Rodrigo de Paul will miss this match due to suspension.

Atalanta enter this match on the heels of a thrilling 3-2 come from beyond win at home over Lazio.  Atalanta remain in 4th, but after five straight wins now sit just four points from 3rd place Inter Milan.  Atalanta should have their full roster available to choose from for this match. 

Udinese have been solid at home and have the 10th best home record in Serie A.  Udinese’s home matches have been low scoring, they are scoring the fewest goals and allowing the 3rd fewest against.  Atalanta have been excellent away and have the 3rd best record in Serie A away.  Atalanta’s offense has been formidable, scoring the most goals against and allowing just the 4th fewest goals against.  Udinese have had the edge when hosting Atalanta, with four wins and a draw over the their previous six meetings.  Atalanta have been on a tear lately and are one of the hottest teams in the league, having won five straight.  Atalanta look to be too much for the hosts in this one, in what should be a low scoring affair.

Parma vs Inter Milan 

Time: 3:45 PM EST 

Odds: Parma +550, Draw +330, Inter Milan -195

Last Game: Inter Milan 2 : 2 Parma 

Watch: ESPN +

Parma enter this match following a 4-1 away victory at Genoa in midweek.  Parma now sit in 7th and are just three points from a European berth.  Roberto Inglese will sit out for the home side due to injury.

Inter Milan surrendered the lead twice in their last match and had to settle for a 3-3 draw at home to Sampdoria.  Inter remain in 3rd and are now seven points back of 2nd place Lazio.  Milan Skriniar will miss this match due to suspension with Diego Godin looking likely to replace him.  Manager Antonio Conte will also miss this match due to suspension.

Parma have been an average side at home where they rank 9th in Serie A.  Parma are scoring the 11th most goals while allowing the 4th fewest against.  Inter Milan have been excellent away where they have the best record in the league, scoring the 2nd most goals and allowing the fewest against.  This has been a favorable matchup for Parma recently with the hosts winning four of the last six matches at home against Inter.  Inter are the better side here but their results have been inconsistent of late, with only a single win in their last five matches.  Inter should get a result here in a low scoring match between two strong defensive sides.