F1 Model

Elo-based championship predictions, circuit-specific win probabilities, and teammate pace analysis.

3 guides

01 — FEATURED

Featured Content

How Circuit Types Affect F1 Performance Predictions

Why the same driver has different win probabilities at different tracks, and how circuit classification (power, high downforce, street, mixed) drives our model's predictions.

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How Elo Ratings Work in Formula 1

A breakdown of how Elo rating systems adapted from chess apply to F1 driver performance, including combined driver-constructor ratings and momentum tracking.

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F1 Championship Model Methodology

Technical documentation of the Odds Reference F1 championship prediction model: data sources, feature engineering, Monte Carlo simulation, and calibration approach.

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